.406

By David Marasco

.406 -- It is a magical number. T-shirts are printed with those digits printed across the front with no explanation. Everyone familiar with baseball history knows about the double-header on the last day of the season. Ted Williams could have sat out and had his .39955 rounded up to a tainted .400. But by today's rules Ted would have entered the day at .405 and ended at .411. What?

Ed Linn's biography of Ted Williams makes the point that when Williams bat .400 he was facing a draconian sacrifice fly rule. Ted got nicked for an AB every time he brought home a man from third with a fly out. Linn traces the development of the Sac Fly rule in his text:

1908 Sac fly, no time at bat
1926 Sac fly if any runner advances
1931 No sac fly
1939 Sac fly if runner scores
1940 RBI if runner scores but is charged with time at bat
1954 Sac fly reinstated

In the past few decades several men have made runs at .400, falling short every time. But they are playing under a more generous scoring rule, one that does not hurt them for bringing in a runner at a cost of an out. How much harder was Ted's feat? Well, we can look at the people who have finished the season at .370 or above and see how they fare under the old rules:

.370+ Hitters 1942-1996
Year Name BA Hits AB SF BA*
1948 Stan Musial .376 230 611 ? .376
1957 Ted Williams .388 163 420 2 .386
1977 Rod Carew .388 239 616 5 .385
1980 George Brett .390 175 449 7 .384
1987 Tony Gwynn .370 218 589 4 .368
1993 Andres Galarraga .370 174 470 6 .366
1994 Tony Gwynn .394 165 419 5 .389


Under the old rules two of these seasons drop off the chart and no season has seen a .390 hitter. Not only that, but outside of Tony Gwynn's strike-shortened 1994, the closest thing to .400 was Williams' .386 in 1957.


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